Accept
for a moment that China’s new air defense identification zone (ADIZ) has been
erected purely from a national security perspective and that it is merely
coincidence that its dimensions happen to overlap almost perfectly overs its
exclusive economic zone (EEZ) as claimed, which in turn encompasses the Senkaku
Islands and its territorial waters, and the reporting requirements imposed by
China on aircraft merely passing through actually make sense to me from a
technical perspective. Here’s why.
Credible
accounts say that the East China Sea is an area with some of the heaviest air
traffic in the world. Now imagine that you are in charge of distinguishing
potentially ill-intentioned flying objects from innocent passers-by without the
technical sophistication and global reach enjoyed by your United States
counterparts. Note also that the offshore parts of the US ADIZ have far fewer
aircraft passing through with no intention of entering US territorial airspace.
Wouldn’t it make sense to respectfully ask all aircraft entering the ADIZ to
report their flight plans, so that you can concentrate on the now smaller
number of aircraft (sans the complying ones) that refuse to help out? In fact,
this may be the only way that you can avoid being overwhelmed by the noise in
the information. It would also be appropriate to issue a caveat to the effect
that you may be required to take action to avoid a potential security threat
from an aircraft entering the ADIZ if you do not have that information
regarding its intents, would it not? After all, you’re the last one to want to
touch off an international calamity through misidentification.
Couched
in the proper terms, the abovementioned could have been framed and presented as
at least as a reasonable, if unprecedented, formula for a Chinese ADIZ.
Instead, as is so often their wont, the Chinese authorities announced their
ADIZ in the most uncompromising and ominous way possible, earning them
across-the-board international opprobrium.
China’s
problem is somewhat alleviated by the latest Mainichi revelations of the three
year-old prior notice to Japanese MOD and MOFA officials. The attention heaped
on Prime Minister Abe’s Yasukuni also helps deflect attention. But I believe
that things could have been much easier for the Chinese authorities if they had
been more forthcoming about the need for the ADIZ as designed and couched the
possible consequences of noncooperation in less assertive tones. But they are
what they are, I guess.
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