Johannes Feige has an article in The Diplomat
entitled “How
Well Does China Control Its Military?” in which he details incidents that “[suggest]
weakness in coordination between the center and the military, and [help]
explain numerous episodes where the civilian apparatus seemed oblivious to the
PLA’s activities and confused about officers’ statements that made the PLA
appear ‘rogue.’” Add to Feige’s list the extended PLA incursion into the Indian
side of the disputed border while Xi Jinping was visiting Narendra Modi, and it
becomes hard to shake off the feeling that you have an unsavory choice between a
party leadership a) eager to use physical intimidation as part of their top-level
diplomacy toolkit or b) unable to rein in a military that does not hesitate to undermine
and embarrass it in order to pursue its own somewhat ill-defined agenda.
One
thing that cannot be too emphasized is that the notion that Xi Jinping’s brief
tour as a political official in the PLA is enough to provide him with a significant
influence there is nonsense. Anyone with experience in the stove-piped public
sectors of East Asia will know that officials seconded from an outside institution
remains an outsider no matter how well received on a personal basis. The people
Xi became acquainted with in the PLA and has remained in touch with—not to mention
any other princeling officers that he knew from an earlier stage in life—will
certainly help him navigate his way around there as required. But the
prerogatives of the institution will prevail every time.
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