I
have been informed that my essay on The Diplomat
has touched off a Facebook discussion about the lack of involvement on the part
of the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense, a discussion that has been focusing on
Prime Minister Abe’s alleged unwillingness to do so. I’d never considered the
matter at all, since it was, is, and for the foreseeable future, illegal to
bring the Self-Defense Forces into this. Article 79 of the Self-Defense Forces
Act states, “The Prime Minister may order all or part of the Self-Defense Force
for operations in the case where it is determined that public security cannot
be maintained with general policing powers in an indirect invasion or other
emergency situation. So does an “indirect invasion or other emergency situation”
exist here? Remember that these are the high seas. The Chinese boats have every
right to loiter there, (pretending that they are) doing nothing. The Japanese
authorities can and do accost and board these boats for inspection, at which
point they are known to attempt to flee, but none have been reported to resist
using force. Suspicion of surreptitious criminal activity and lack of capacity
to police it appropriately are hard to justify as grounds for finding “indirect
invasion or other emergency situation.”
A
more useful course of inquiry is this: Why not give the Self-Defense Force
policing powers, in the same way that the U.S. Coast Guard doubles as a civilian
authority and an arm of the military? I am not opposed to this as a matter of principle,
although I suspect that the greater part of the Japanese public, even many traditional
conservatives, will not accept a domestic policing role for the military. But it
will bring the Self-Defense Force into play against incursions into the Senkaku
territorial waters as well as the islands themselves. The possibility alone
would be seen as provocative by the Chinese authorities; actual deployment
would be regarded as escalation, very likely compelling them to respond in
kind.
The
last is a grim possibility that not even the most hawkish administration is
willing to countenance, in my view. The Abe administration is looking into the
so-called gray areas, but that is about as far as it appears to be willing to
go, even if public opinion were not situated as I believe it to be.
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