Looking Back: MIGA Talk 2014 Addendum

While this MIGA Talk essay was in the editing pipeline, a few calls that I made on this blog turned out to be more or less on target. The LDP lost fewer than 30 seats, Komeito gained seats, and Mr. Abe is set to reappoint all his pre-election cabinet ministers in rising order of uncertainty in my mind at the time.

I don’t think that anyone else made that last call. The outcome is obviously less consequential than that for the first (but I would argue more important than for the second), but it was clear and precise, with no margin of error, and sound, I think, in my reasoning.